Ask why American startups win and most people point to money. There is more venture capital in the United States, the rounds are larger, and more funds are competing to write cheques. All true, and it still explains very little, because the money tends to turn up after the good companies do.

The harder question is why the best founders keep forming teams in the same few square miles of northern California, and why thirty years of well funded copies, in Europe, in Asia, in the Gulf, have produced plenty of conferences and few real rivals. Most of the answer is sitting at the next desk.

The outcome gap, not the funding gap

The numbers are more lopsided than the usual talking points let on. On the Hurun Global Unicorn Index, the United States has around 758 companies worth a billion dollars or more, about half the world's total, and by one count more than the next nineteen countries combined. China is second and already a long way back, at roughly 343. After that the list collapses. The twenty seven countries of the European Union, together close to a fifth of world output, hold about 112 between them, under 8%. Britain on its own has more than Paris and Berlin put together.

Exhibit 1
Where the billion dollar companies are, number of unicorns, 2025
United States
~758
China
~343
European Union (27)
~112
India
~88
United Kingdom
~61

Sources: Hurun Global Unicorn Index 2025 (United States, China, European Union, United Kingdom); Visual Capitalist, data to July 2025 (India). Unicorn counts vary by tracker and methodology, so figures are approximate and indicative of relative scale. Bars scale against the United States total.

Funding looks the same. The United States took about 64% of global venture capital in 2025, and the San Francisco Bay Area alone took somewhere between 40% and 52% of every American dollar. At that level, concentration stops being an edge and becomes the shape of the whole market.

Why it is not mainly about money

The money explanation gets the order backwards. If capital were the real constraint, the gap would have closed by now, because money is the one thing the rest of the world has poured in without hesitation. Europe has caught up at the start line. A founder in London or Stockholm with a good idea can raise a seed round without leaving home, and usually finds more than one investor willing to do it.

The gap opens later, when a promising company is supposed to become a very large one. By then what is missing is the company, and no amount of first round funding conjures one up. Big late stage funds pool wherever there is a steady supply of businesses worth backing at scale, and that supply comes out of the founders and operators packed into a place. America keeps producing those companies, and the money follows from there. Reading it the other way round is the common mistake.

Density, and the quality of the people

The engine is density, and density buys things money cannot.

It shortens the distance to the person who has already solved your exact problem. Within a few square miles you can find the engineer who scaled the same system and the operator who has run the same playbook, and reach either one through a single introduction. Stripe is the obvious case. Patrick and John Collison, two brothers from Limerick, wrote the first version in a Palo Alto apartment, went through Y Combinator, and had Peter Thiel and Elon Musk backing them before they were old enough to rent a car without a surcharge. The company is now worth well over a hundred billion dollars. What made that possible was standing within reach of that particular group of people, which happened to exist in one place on earth.

Density also compounds. When PayPal sold, its people went off to build LinkedIn (Reid Hoffman), YouTube (Steve Chen, Chad Hurley and Jawed Karim), Yelp (Jeremy Stoppelman), Palantir and Founders Fund (Peter Thiel), Affirm (Max Levchin), and Tesla and SpaceX (Elon Musk). The money and the scar tissue from one company became the funding and the hiring pool for the next, with the same names often writing the cheques they had once cashed. Y Combinator industrialised the whole thing, pushing Airbnb, Dropbox, Coinbase, DoorDash and Stripe out of the same few blocks.

For an investor, this is where it shows up, and it shows up as quality well before it shows up in a valuation. A company grown inside that density arrives with a stronger founding team, better early hires, and a board that has already watched this kind of company fail once or twice. Half of the hardest question in diligence, whether the team can actually build the thing they are describing, is answered by the place that produced them.

The crowd dictates behaviour

There is one more effect, and it is the one people miss because it never lands on a term sheet. The people around you set your level of ambition and your appetite for risk, mostly without your noticing. Sit in a room where starting a company that bends an industry is an ordinary thing to try, and trying it stops feeling reckless. Sit in a room where the ambitious move is a senior title at a bank or a ministry, and the person who wants to build something new comes across as slightly odd, and before long starts to believe it.

Paul Graham wrote the sharpest thing on this, in an essay called Cities and Ambition. His idea is that every great city keeps repeating the same sentence to the people who live there. New York says be richer, Boston says be smarter, and Silicon Valley, he wrote, says you should be more powerful, in the sense of how much effect you have on the world. Live inside that sentence long enough and it resets what you treat as a normal amount to attempt.

Two things come out of that. One is a genuine tolerance for failure. Where founders routinely blow up a company or two and raise again from the same backers, a failed startup looks like tuition, and people keep taking the sort of swing that now and then lands an outlier. The other is speed. When everyone near you treats enormous ambition as the baseline, the decisions that get agonised over elsewhere get made over a weekend: quitting the stable job, moving across the world, giving a decade to an idea that might go nowhere. You move fast because the people beside you already did.

Exhibit 2
The paradox of output: share of global GDP against share of global unicorns
United States, GDP
~26%
United States, unicorns
~50%
European Union, GDP
~18%
European Union, unicorns
~8%

Sources: International Monetary Fund, share of world nominal GDP, 2024 (approximate); Hurun Global Unicorn Index 2025, share of world unicorns. Figures are approximate. Bars scale against the United States unicorn share. The point is the direction of the gap: the United States produces far more than its economic weight, the European Union far less.

Why the rest of the world lags

Seen this way, the reasons the rest of the world trails have more to do with structure and culture than with money.

One is a market cut into pieces. A founder scaling across the twenty seven states of the European Union hits separate legal systems, tax codes, languages and securities rules that a founder scaling across American states never has to think about, so the same effort buys a smaller market and a slower route through it.

Another is where the big cheques live. Late stage capital is thinner, often down to how domestic pensions and insurers are allowed to invest, which pushes the strongest companies to raise their largest rounds in New York or San Francisco, or to sell early. DeepMind is the example people in London still wince at. It was founded there in 2010, probably the best artificial intelligence lab anywhere, and Google bought it in 2014 before Britain had built a company around it, so the ownership and the decade of decisions that followed moved to California.

Then there is culture. In much of the world an honest business failure still follows a person around in a way it does not in California, and that puts people off the risks that occasionally pay off on a huge scale.

None of this is permanent. The gap at the earliest stages has genuinely closed, and Europe has built serious companies: Spotify out of Stockholm under Daniel Ek, Klarna a few streets away, Adyen in Amsterdam, and ASML, the Dutch firm whose machines print the world's most advanced chips. The founder scenes in London, Paris, Berlin, Stockholm and a few Asian cities are getting denser, with their own returning founders and their own recycled money. A city's message gets built by the people in it, slowly, and no subsidy programme has found a shortcut around that.

How we read it

If quality is a property of the place, then the place belongs in the underwriting.

Brenton reading

We would weight the density and the recycling of an ecosystem as heavily as the headline size of its capital pool, since the first tends to build the second. For exposure to the best early stage companies, the United States is still hard to replace, and we are cautious about any pitch that sells cheaper valuations elsewhere without asking what the surroundings around those companies are likely to grow. For the next decade, the question worth asking about any city outside the United States is whether it manages to hold on to its ambitious people. Watch where the founders go after their first success. If they stay and reinvest, the scene gets deeper and the next companies get better. If they leave for San Francisco, that tells you more than the size of any government fund ever will.

You can wire money across the world in an afternoon. The kind of crowd that makes enormous ambition feel ordinary takes a generation to build and can be drained in a decade. That is why the map of the world's best startups has barely moved in thirty years, whatever the funding numbers say.

This article is produced by Brenton Financial Research for informational and educational purposes only. It reflects the research team's analysis of publicly available data and published commentary, including the work of Paul Graham, and expresses opinions that are open to debate. Unicorn and funding figures are drawn from the third party sources cited, vary by methodology, and are approximate. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, or a recommendation regarding any company, fund, or jurisdiction. Brenton Financial Pty Ltd (ABN 21 696 298 227). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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